Daily Oil Fundamentals
China in focus, again
15 Aug 2023China in focus, again
Technical analysts will be happy with a performance from oil yesterday that involved a bounce from a key technical indicator in the 13-day moving average.
Technical analysts will be happy with a performance from oil yesterday that involved a bounce from a key technical indicator in the 13-day moving average.
The muted price re-action to last week’s encouraging demand estimates, falling OPEC+ supply, declining inventories and mitigated inflationary pressure is a warning signal that unless China joins the party the path upwards will be paved with pitfalls.
The current move up started in July. ICE Brent has rallied 15%, CME Heating Oil 29% and RBOB 18%. At the end of June US retail gasoline sold for $3.685/gallon. Fast forward 6 weeks and it is 7% more expensive.