Insights

Daily Oil Fundamentals

AI Doubts, Peace Doubts

23 Oct 2026

AI Doubts, Peace Doubts

The recent inverse relationship between equities and oil was on full display yesterday. Global stocks, led by the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index, weakened considerably. Fears about the sustainability of the AI craze are ominously mounting. The trigger for yesterday’s rout was Meta, as the Facebook owner warned of the need to borrow hundreds of billions of dollars in the coming years as the AI race intensifies. To add insult to injury, weekly US jobless claims fell to a 57-year low, bearing witness to a solid labour market that will not stand in the way of further rate hikes should persistent inflationary pressures warrant them.

Daily Oil Fundamentals

Mid-Terms on the Mind

22 Oct 2026

Mid-Terms on the Mind

The combination of an IEA pledge to release more oil from strategic petroleum reserves if needed, a high-level Iran-Pakistan meeting, and the reappearance of Russian diesel on the international market provided a convenient excuse for profit-taking. After Brent's rally to $112/bbl, even tentative signs of additional supply or diplomatic progress were enough to tempt traders with a bullish bias to bank some profits.

Daily Oil Fundamentals

Cutting Through the Noise

21 Oct 2026

Cutting Through the Noise

The combination of an IEA pledge to release more oil from strategic petroleum reserves if needed, a high-level Iran-Pakistan meeting, and the reappearance of Russian diesel on the international market provided a convenient excuse for profit-taking. After Brent's rally to $112/bbl, even tentative signs of additional supply or diplomatic progress were enough to tempt traders with a bullish bias to bank some profits.

PVM Data & Analytics

Parameta Solutions, the data and analytics arm of TP ICAP, delivers global energy and commodities market data sourced directly from PVM. This empowers traders, analysts, and risk managers to optimise hedging strategies, price contracts and reduce risk exposure.

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